US Job Market

US stock market analysisTrade WarJapanUS economyWarren Buffett1. IMPORTANT WEEKLY ANALYSISThe FedUnemploymentGoldUS debt crisisINVESTMENT PORTFOLIOCentral BanksGermanyThe Federal ReserveUS public debtWEEKLY MARKET RECAPUS Job MarketUS deficitWorld EconomyS&P 500tradingSilverDebt
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⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: Massive revisions are coming to the US job market

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: Massive revisions are coming to the US job market

If revisions materialize, we will see negative payrolls growth

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⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: US youth unemployment is rising, as if there is a recession

⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: US youth unemployment is rising, as if there is a recession

Is the US on the verge of a generational jobs crisis?

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US economyUS economy
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🚨US corporate bankruptcies are accelerating

🚨US corporate bankruptcies are accelerating

US large bankruptcies are rising at an alarming pace

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US economyUS economy
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⚠️The US services sector is struggling

⚠️The US services sector is struggling

The recent services sector data looks stagflation

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US economyUS economy
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⚠️The US labor market suggests the economy is in a recession

⚠️The US labor market suggests the economy is in a recession

Massive downward job revisions continue, and it is not over yet

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US economyUS economy
+3+3
🚨"Buy Now, Pay Later" (BNPL) transactions in the US are set to hit a record high in 2025

🚨"Buy Now, Pay Later" (BNPL) transactions in the US are set to hit a record high in 2025

US consumers have never been more indebted:

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US economyUS economy
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The US youth unemployment crisis is driven almost entirely by young men

The US youth unemployment crisis is driven almost entirely by young men

Male college grads and non-grads are now unemployed at the same rate

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US economyUS economy
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⚠️Americans' wages are stagnating

⚠️Americans' wages are stagnating

The share of working Americans not getting pay raises is increasing

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US economyUS economy
+5+5
⚠️The US private sector employment is in a recession

⚠️The US private sector employment is in a recession

US labor market trends are heading in the undesired direction

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US economyUS economy
+1+1
🚨US Q1 2025 GDP was revised lower

🚨US Q1 2025 GDP was revised lower

Consumer spending last quarter was the weakest since the 2020 Crisis

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US economyUS economy
+1+1
⚠️Leading indicators are again signalling a recession in the US

⚠️Leading indicators are again signalling a recession in the US

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) is down ~16% from its peak.

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US economyUS economy
+1+1
🚨US economic activity is deteriorating

🚨US economic activity is deteriorating

The US Economic Surprise index dropped to a 9-month low.

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